There were little to no expectations for the Indiana Pacers
entering this season. Entering a new era headlined by emerging
point guard Tyrese Haliburton, Indiana was a preseason favorite in
the Victor Wembanyama derby. Instead, Indiana checks in with a 9-6
record, including wins in eight of their last 10 games.
With this early-season surge, the Pacers' young core is turning
heads and it's clear that this team is just scratching the
surface.
Haliburton is making the leap to All-Star candidate, averaging
20.6 points, 10.5 assists and 1.9 steals on an eye-opening 62.3%
True Shooting. As the engine of Indiana’s offense, Haliburton has
helped vault their offensive rating to No. 7 in the Association,
averaging 114.0 points per 100 possessions.
The brilliance of Haliburton is his ability to elevate the
numbers of everyone around him, which includes feeding Myles Turner
consistently to a career-best in scoring (18.2 PPG). Incredibly
enough, Indiana’s entire starting lineup, sans Jalen Smith, is
shooting above 40% on three-point attempts with Haliburton as the
trigger-puller.
Alongside Haliburton is the early Rookie-of-the-Year candidate,
Bennedict Mathurin, who was picked No. 6 overall and may be a
sleeper in the Sixth Man of the Year race as well. Mathurin
instantly displayed his natural knack for scoring the basketball in
a multitude of ways. Not only can Mathurin effortlessly slash to
the rim, he can pull up with no hesitation thanks to beautiful shot
mechanics. Mathurin’s perimeter prowess immediately translated too,
as he's converting 42.7% on threes with adequate volume (5.9
3PA).
Eventually, Mathurin will move into a full-time role next to
Haliburton in the Pacers’ starting unit, but being the featured
piece off the bench has allowed for scoring binges at a rapid pace,
including 18 points in one quarter. It’s hard to describe the “It”
factor Mathurin possesses, but he oozes confidence. Based on early
indications, the Pacers may have hit a grand slam drafting
Mathurin, which could already be fast-tracking expectations in
Indianapolis.
The word “rebuild” wasn’t thrown around much by the Pacers’
front office, as they viewed this as more of a multi-season
re-tooling because they already had a few foundational pieces on
the roster. Thanks in large part to this backcourt duo, Indiana
currently sits in the No. 5 slot in the Eastern Conference.
Haliburton and Mathurin are creating fireworks for the Pacers’
offense, but there are also a few other surprises within this
15-game sample size. While Chris Duarte is sidelined due to an
ankle injury, second-round pick Andrew Nembhard has been starting.
Already, Nembhard has a veteran-like feel to his game with
noticeable two-way versatility because of his consistent on-ball
defense and three-point shooting. The former Gonzaga product more
often than not is taking on the Pacers’ toughest defensive
assignment, which speaks volumes to how much head coach Rick
Carlisle trusts the rookie. In multi-man efficiency stats,
combinations featuring Nembhard all rank near the top since he
makes so many winning plays. On a rebuilding team, having a
reliable piece like this could pay huge dividends down the
road.
Because of the strong returns from the Pacers’ young core,
career-best campaigns from Buddy Hield and Myles Turner are flying
under the radar. Already possessing three first-round picks in the
2023 NBA Draft, Indiana could be in a very advantageous position to
cash in once again between now and February’s trade deadline.
Turner is becoming a more reliable offensive threat coupled with
his elite shot blocking, averaging 18.2 points, 8.9 rebounds and
3.0 blocks on 67.6% True Shooting. Meanwhile, Hield is putting up
18.0 points, 4.9 rebounds and 3.0 assists while shooting 40.3% on
threes.
Following an offseason-long rumor mill pertaining to Turner and
Hield potentially being traded to the Los Angeles Lakers for
Russell Westbrook’s expiring contract, both of Indiana’s veteran
leaders are thriving. And with their success in the win-loss
column, the next month could be huge in deciding the long-term fate
of both players in Indiana. If the Pacers maintain their strong
start, this team all of a sudden could be looking like a play-in
contender in the first year of their rebuilding efforts.
Simply put, the Pacers are too good to tank their way to a
20-win record. All of the following players for the Pacers have
consistently flashed: Haliburton, Mathurin, Turner, Hield,
Nembhard, Jalen Smith, Isaiah Jackson, Aaron Nesmith. Add in
Duarte, who was one of the best scorers from the 2021 rookie class,
and Indiana is one big offseason away from rebounding to
consistent-playoff-threat status within the East.
When Indiana decided to ship off two-time All-Star Domantas
Sabonis to the Sacramento Kings in exchange for Haliburton and
Hield at last season’s trade deadline, it was a pivotal moment for
the organization to reset. Putting a lid on expectations for the
team for the next few years internally, this core instead may very
well be ahead of schedule.
Don’t look now, but the Pacers are quickly becoming an
NBA-League-Pass favorite because of their fast-paced brand of
basketball. Also, they’re finding an identity on defense over their
last 10 games, ranking No. 8 in defensive rating. Indiana ranks in
the top-10 in offensive rating and defensive rating — only the
Boston Celtics and Cleveland Cavaliers can say the same over that
span.
Whichever direction the rest of the season takes for Indiana,
the internal signs of growth are blindingly bright. Haliburton and
Mathurin have immense potential as a complementary backcourt
pairing, and it seems there are a number of players who could be
involved in the Pacers' long-term vision.
Possessing oodles of cap space and multiple first-round picks,
Indiana will be operating in the driver’s seat from a potential
trade-negotiation standpoint over the next few months. Right now,
the ship is certainly turned in the right direction for a franchise
in search of consistent stabilization once more.